RT News

Tuesday, October 18, 2011

TransCanada offers Nebraska concessions for pipeline

18 Oct 2011 23:50
Source: Reuters // Reuters

* TransCanada offers $100 mln bond, other protections

* Measures in response to concerns raised at meeting

* Pipeline would cross aquifer in north central Nebraska (Adds details, TransCanada comments, background)

OMAHA, Nebraska, Oct 18 (Reuters) - TransCanada Corp has offered a $100 million performance bond and other oil spill protection measures to Nebraska legislators in an attempt to reduce opposition to the company's proposed $7 billion Keystone XL oil pipeline.

State lawmakers want TransCanada to move the pipeline route from Nebraska's Sandhills region, which sits atop a massive aquifer from which a large portion of the agriculture-heavy central United States gets its water.

In a letter to the speaker of the legislature on Tuesday, TransCanada executive Alex Pourbaix said the company cannot make changes to the right-of-way so late in the review process, but is prepared to offer a host of other protections for the environmentally sensitive area.

TransCanada would put up a $100 million performance bond it would make available to the state if the company does not clean up a spill in the Sandhills area.
Among other measures, it would build a concrete containment structure at a pump station to stop any oil from mixing with surface water in the event of a spill, as well as install a pipe coating made of concrete or other materials in areas where the water table is close to the surface.



"I believe they should help alleviate any remaining concerns about the safety of the approved route of the pipeline," Pourbaix wrote in the letter to the speaker, Senator Mike Flood.

The company has yet to receive a response, TransCanada spokesman Shawn Howard said.

The risk of oil spills in the area of the aquifer, called the Ogallala, is one of several points of opposition to the Keystone XL pipeline, which would move up to 700,000 barrels a day of oil sands-derived crude to Texas from northern Alberta, Canada.

The U.S. State Department is expected to rule by the end of this year on whether TransCanada can build the controversial line, which the company has said will create U.S. jobs and improve energy security.

Howard said the concessions are in response to concerns raised at a meeting with Nebraska lawmakers last week.

"We had made a commitment to the speaker and some of the state senators that were involved that we would consider some of the requests they made and see what we may be able to do to further enhance the safety of the pipeline, especially in the Sandhills region," Howard said.

"We spent the last week having a look at this and this is what we were able to commit to in terms of enhancements that are above and beyond what we've already done and agreed to."

TransCanada has said the pipeline would be the most advanced and safest ever built.

Still, in the letter, Pourbaix offered to conduct water well testing for landowners within 300 feet of the proposed right-of-way in the Sandhills region and locate oil spill equipment and personnel there as well. (Writing by Jeffrey Jones; Editing by David Gregorio and Bob Burgdorfer)


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Alberta: EU oil sands ranking a threat to trade

21 Oct 2011 12:53
Source: Reuters // Reuters

* Letter coincides with trade talks between Canada, EU

* EU committee on Tuesday to debate EU fuels ranking

* EU sources deny Canadian oil sands are being singled out (Adds detail, reaction)

By Charlie Dunmore and Barbara Lewis

BRUSSELS, Oct 21 (Reuters) - The government of Alberta, home to the bulk of Canada's oil sands, has written to EU experts voicing "grave concerns" that the bloc's plans to rank unconventional oil as a highly polluting fuel are unfair and a potential threat to trade ties.

"The proposed measure has been deliberately crafted in such a way as to discriminate specifically and uniquely against oil sands derived fuels," said a copy of the letter seen by Reuters.

"Alberta believes that the fuel quality directive implementing measure as it currently stands would be incompatible with the EU's international trade obligations."

The letter came ahead of a meeting scheduled for Tuesday of a committee of EU government experts. They plan to debate a proposed green ranking of fuels, which is designed to enable fuel suppliers to identify the most carbon-intensive options.

The proposed ranking assigns tar sands a default greenhouse gas value of 107 grams of carbon per megajoule, making it clear to buyers that it has a greater climate impact than conventional crude oil, whose value is 87.5 grams, an EU source said.

The letter on behalf of the Alberta government -- signed by its United Kingdom office and sent to all 27 members of the expert committee -- argues there is no scientific reason to differentiate between Canada's oil sands and other crude sources.

EU Commission sources have said the measures do not label only Canadian oil sands as carbon intensive, but also those from Venezuela. They have said the measures take account of carbon emitted across the entire life-cycle of a fuel.

If any oil sand-derived product can demonstrate that over its life-cycle its emissions are less than 107 grams per megajoule, only its actual emissions will be taken into account.

Two of the other unconventional fuel sources have higher values than oil sands. They are oil shale at 131.3 and coal-to-liquid at 172.

EXTENSIVE RESEARCH

Environmental groups have strongly backed the Commission stand-point. They say it is supported by extensive research.

"It's not true that oil sands are unfairly singled out," said Nusa Urbancic, fuels campaigner at green transport lobby group T&E.

"The Commission has spent a year reviewing all the available science, including that provided by the oil sands industry and the conclusion is unequivocal that oil sands are more carbon intensive."

The EU green fuel ranking represents the final plank of legislation introduced in 2008, when the EU agreed to reduce the carbon intensity of its transport fuels by 6 percent by 2020.

That is part of a wider target to reduce EU carbon emissions by 20 percent by 2020.

A decision on whether to include tar sands in the ranking was delayed after Canada previously said the EU's standards to promote greener fuels would harm the market for its oil sands.

An EU source said Tuesday's committee meeting would probably not get as far as a vote and would instead meet again for further discussion and a vote at some stage.

Once the expert committee approves the measures, the European Parliament has three months to pass or reject them. If rejected, the Commission can submit a revised proposal. If there is no vote, the committee will meet for further debate.

Oil companies active in Canada include Royal Dutch Shell and sources said the British and Dutch governments could be sympathetic to Alberta's position.

The oil sands debate coincides with difficult talks between Canada and the European Union on a proposed free trade deal. The two sides have yet to agree on a range of issues, including intellectual property and market access for agricultural products.

Canadian energy minister Joe Oliver suggested earlier this month Ottawa could take the EU to the World Trade Organization if the Europeans adopted the fuel quality directive, although a spokesman for the Canadian trade minister said last week the free trade discussions were a separate issue.

"While we disagree with this draft directive, this matter is not linked to our commitment to productive free trade discussions with the European Union," the spokesman said. (Additional reporting by David Ljunggren in Ottawa; diting by Rex Merrifield and Sebastian Moffett)


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Green groups sue US over Keystone pipeline project

25 Oct 2011 21:12
Source: Reuters // Reuters

* Groups say spills would hurt whooping crane

* State Dept hopes to decide on permit by year's end

Oct 25 (Reuters) - Three environmental groups sued the U.S. government on Tuesday, challenging claims in a State Department report that said a proposed Canada-to-Texas oil sands pipeline poses little risk to endangered species because spills on the line were unlikely.

The Center for Biological Diversity, the Western Nebraska Resources Council and Friends of the Earth filed a suit in federal court in Nebraska, challenging an appendix in the State Department's final environmental impact statement that said spills are unlikely to occur.

The groups said that statement was contradicted in the State Department's environmental assessment, which said TransCanada Corp's proposed Keystone XL pipeline will cause one or two small spills a year during its 50-year life.

"We're asking either the agencies or the government to set aside the conclusion that the pipeline is not likely to result in spills," said Amy Atwood, a lawyer with the Center for Biological Diversity.

She said potential spills near Nebraska's Sand Hills region could harm whooping cranes and that the endangered birds could also collide with power transmission lines that are required by the project.

The suit was filed in the U.S. District Court in Nebraska. It can be seen here: http://link.reuters.com/juq64s .

With Tuesday's litigation, the environmental groups expanded their original case filed earlier this month that seeks to stop the government and TransCanada from doing preliminary work on the line in Nebraska. [ID:nN1E7940Q2]

The project could face many legal and regulatory hurdles that could delay it. Approval for it has been pending since late 2008.

Opponents of the pipeline say oil sands production releases large amounts of greenhouse gases and that the fuel is potentially corrosive to to pipelines.

Supporters say the pipeline would create thousands of jobs and boost imports from a close ally.

A spokeswoman for the State Department said it had no comment on the litigation.

TransCanada spokesman Shawn Howard said there is nothing new in this amended complaint, "and we continue to believe it is without merit."

TransCanada hopes the $7 billion pipeline will be built by 2013. The State Department hopes to decide whether it should give TransCanada a final permit for the line before the end of the year. (Reporting by Timothy Gardner; editing by Andrea Evans)

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Protesters circle White House in oil pipeline row

06 Nov 2011 23:41
Source: Reuters // Reuters

* Protesters press President Obama to nix pipeline

* Company says the project would create jobs

* Obama at golf game while protesters gathered

By Jeff Mason and Patrick Temple-West

WASHINGTON, Nov 6 (Reuters) - Thousands of protesters opposed to a new oil pipeline from Canada to the United States circled the White House grounds on Sunday to press President Barack Obama to reject the project on environmental grounds.

Opponents to TransCanada Corp's Keystone XL pipeline, which would transport crude produced from oil sands, have dogged the president for months, arguing against the carbon-spewing process of extracting oil from the sands.

On Sunday thousands of men and women, many of them wearing orange vests with "Stop the pipeline" printed on them, lined up around the White House grounds, which include the presidential mansion, the U.S. Treasury department and a sprawling executive office building.

Carrying signs that matched Obama's campaign colors of blue and red, some protesters chanted "Hey Obama, we don't want no climate drama" and "Stop the pipeline, yes we can," copying phrases connected to Obama's successful 2008 election effort.

The pipeline controversy threatens to loom over the 2012 presidential race. Obama faces political pitfalls whether his administration approves or rejects the project.

A decision in favor would support Obama's goal of creating jobs and diversifying U.S. energy sources, but it would alienate core Democratic supporters who are already disappointed by his progress in fighting climate change.

"We have to leave the tar sands oil in the ground. That's the only solution if we're going to save the planet," said Martin Springhetti, 63, a Democrat and retired teacher from Pennsylvania, who said his active support for Obama next year would depend on the pipeline decision.

"I certainly won't work for him, but I won't vote for him if he doesn't ... say no to the pipeline," said actress Margot Kidder, 63, who campaigned for Obama in 2008 in Montana and was arrested at a similar pipeline protest earlier this year.

JOBS AND OIL

The State Department is running the review process for the decision, though Obama has made clear he will influence the final call.

"As the president has made clear, he recognizes that there are a number of critical issues involved in this decision, including climate change and impacts on public health and natural resources," said White House spokesman Clark Stevens.

"These issues, along with American energy security and economic factors, will be considered in the State Department's ongoing assessment."

TransCanada said the protesters were ignoring out-of-work Americans who could benefit from the jobs the pipeline would create.

"What these millionaire actors and professional activists don't seem to understand is that saying no to Keystone means saying yes to more conflict oil from the Middle East and Venezuela filling American gas tanks," said company spokesman James Millar.

"Our opponents can trivialize the jobs the largest energy infrastructure on the books right now in the U.S. will create, but we know the 20,000 Americans we will put to work constructing and manufacturing the parts needed to build Keystone XL feel differently."

Opponents dispute the jobs figures that TransCanada projects. The Sierra Club, a prominent environmental group and one of the organizers of Sunday's demonstration, said the protest was about more than the pipeline itself.

"(It) is really about a larger issue, which is getting off oil altogether," said Michael Brune, the group's executive director.

Obama was not at the White House when the protest took place. As he often does on the weekends, the president was playing golf. (Editing by Anthony Boadle)


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ANALYSIS-"Blood oath" on CO2 laws to haunt Australia's Abbott

07 Nov 2011 04:13
Source: Reuters // Reuters

* Abbott pledge to scrap CO2 laws after 2013 a step too far

* Pressure from business, voter apathy could trigger rethink

* Complex parliamentary process could also scuttle repeal vow

By David Fogarty and Rob Taylor

SINGAPORE/CANBERRA, Nov 7 (Reuters) - Australia's Senate is set to pass laws on Tuesday putting a national price on carbon emissions, one of the country's most sweeping and divisive economic reforms that have been a decade in the making.

Opposition leader Tony Abbott has run a two-year campaign to wreck the scheme, seizing on voter fears of higher costs and job losses and driving support for Prime Minister Julia Gillard to all-time lows. Upping the ante further, he made a "blood oath" last month to repeal the laws if he wins power in 2013.

It's a vow he could regret.

A combination of pressure from business demanding certainty for investment, voter fatigue and the constitutionally tortuous process of repealing laws will likely force Abbott to back down, analysts say. If an Abbott-led government presses ahead with the repeal threat, it risks damage to the economy, legal action and high costs for industries, they say.

The scheme begins in July and businesses from liquefied natural gas (LNG) producers to power generators simply want to move on and comply. The government and Greens have a majority in the upper house Senate, ensuring it will pass.

"He's said it's written in blood, but you can promise to defy gravity and you're not going to do it," said Norman Abjorensen, a political analyst at the Australian National University.

Voters and business may well find the scheme is not as costly as portrayed by Abbott. A government compensation package will defray the cost for more than 90 percent of households, while some industries will get substantial sweeteners.

"I think when the positive side starts to kick in, and the huge relief package, and people see the dollars on the other side of it, it will dissipate the anger," Abjorensen told Reuters.

TOP POLLUTER

Internationally, there is much focus on what Australia is doing as part of the fight against climate change.

Competitors such as China and South Korea are already working on emissions trading schemes, California's starts in 2013, while Europe and New Zealand already have trading programmes.

Australia's scheme covers the top 500 carbon polluters. It imposes a cost on every tonne of emissions from power stations, steel mills, LNG producers, coal miners and cement plants, will affect power and fuel prices and help drive investment towards less polluting gas-fired power plants.

Without the programme and a goal to cut emissions by 5 percent below 2000 levels by 2020, the government says Australia's emissions will soar over the coming decade, driven by a resources boom and population growth.

Australia is the developed world's top per-capita carbon emitter, in large part because about 75 percent of power is generated from coal.

The programme starts with a three-year fixed price phase beginning at A$23 per tonne in July before switching to emissions trading in mid-2015, with the aim to link to carbon markets overseas.

Abbott's attempts to sow more political uncertainty in the coming months could well backfire.

"It's hard to see business would be prepared to put up with another 5-year period of significant uncertainty, almost no matter what their persuasion," said Lane Crockett, general manager, Australia, for Pacific Hydro, a large wind farm and hydro power developer.

For Australia's rapidly growing LNG sector, which fought the scheme saying cleaner gas shouldn't be taxed, it was time to move on.

"I'm not sure that anyone would waste too much time trying to change people's minds on something that's already gone through the House of Representatives (parliament's lower house) ... (it's) not a live issue," said Michael Bradley of the Australian Petroleum Production and Exploration Association.

Power generators, clamouring for investment certainty, want clarity on long-term carbon pricing after more than a decade of work by various Australian governments on designing a scheme.

Abbott's threat means that
generators and large electricity users wanting to lock in forward carbon prices will pay more to achieve certainty, pushing up their costs, said Tim Jordan, carbon analyst at Deutsche Bank in Sydney.

"It also means that the market will make sub-optimal choices about what generation plant to build, which leads directly to higher electricity prices,"
he said.

Generators such as Origin Energy and TRUenergy, a wholly owned subsidiary of Hong Kong's CLP Holdings , will need long-term certainty on carbon and gas prices before opting to build more expensive, and less polluting, combined-cycle gas turbine power plants.

SCRUTINY

Abbott's repeal campaign would also prompt demands for more clarity on his party's plans to cut carbon emissions.

"If the opposition continues to talk about repealing it, there will be far more focus then on what they are going to do in its place and they will come under more pressure to explain what their alternative policies are," said Martijn Wilder, global head of Baker & McKenzie's environmental markets and climate change practice.

The complex and politically risky process of repealing laws may also force Abbott to row back.

The Greens, who support Gillard's Labor Party, hold the balance of power in the Senate and polls suggest the Greens could pick up more seats in the next election.

A future Labor opposition and Greens bloc in the Senate would not agree to abolish a carbon tax for which they have fought so hard for more than a decade, even if the conservatives claimed a public mandate from an election win.

That means Abbott could need to resort to a so-called double dissolution election, which would take place after two successive Senate rejections of repeal laws three months apart.

"This process cannot be rushed. The High Court has said that the Senate is entitled 'to have a proper opportunity for debate'. A determined Senate could string this out for many months and it might take Abbott a year or more to secure a double dissolution trigger," said constitutional law expert George Williams.

Williams, writing on the National Times website (www.nationaltimes.com.au), said it would likely be mid-2015 before Abbott could hold a double dissolution election, and then months more before a joint sitting of the parliament could be arranged to repeal the tax.

"By this time, the carbon scheme will have operated for more than three years. Ending it will impose enormous compliance costs on business and destabilise several industries and markets," he said.

Major legal obstacles could render Abbott's already Herculean task impossible to fulfil, Williams said.

Stephen Bartos, an expert on Australian public sector governance and risk from the consulting firm Sapere Research Group, said Abbott's repeal promise could also hit the national budget hard, hobbling another Abbott promise to manage the A$1.3 trillion economy better than Gillard's Labor.

"If a future government faced a risk, even a small risk, of needing to pay compensation of the size implied by the carbon tax costs, it would need to make provision for that," he said. (Additional reporting by Rebekah Kebede in PERTH and Sonali Paul in MELBOURNE; Editing by Paul Tait)

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FACTBOX-Australia's plan to price carbon emissions

08 Nov 2011 02:04
Source: Reuters // Reuters

CANBERRA, Nov 8 (Reuters) - Australia's parliament passed laws that impose a price on carbon emissions on Tuesday, giving new impetus to December's global climate talks in South Africa.

The carbon laws will force the top 500 polluting companies to pay a A$24 ($22.90) a tonne price for carbon emissions from mid 2012 in an effort to fight climate change.

Australia accounts for 1.5 percent of global emissions, but is the developed world's highest emitter per capita due to a reliance on fossil-fuel coal to generate electricity.

Australia joins the European Union and New Zealand with an economy-wide price on emissions. Smaller regional programmes operate in the United States and Japan, while China and South Korea are working on carbon trading schemes.

Following are details of Australia's programme:

CARBON SCHEME ARCHITECTURE

* Carbon tax to be at A$23 a tonne in 2012-13 (July-June), A$24.15 in 2013-14 and A$25.40 in 2014-15. No international carbon credits may be imported during this period.

* Carbon trading begins 2015-16, subject to three-year price ceiling of A$20 above international price for 2015-16, rising by 5 percent in real terms for the next two years. There will be a price floor of A$15, rising by 4 percent per annum.

* In 2014, the government will set national emissions caps stretching out five years, consistent with a minimum overall reduction target of 5 percent by 2020.

* International credits will be recognised from the start of trading in mid-2015, although their import will be limited to the equivalent of half of national emissions.

* About 60 percent of national emissions to be covered, excluding farming and land sectors

INDUSTRY COMPENSATION

* Emissions-intensive, trade-exposed industries, such as aluminium and zinc refiners and steel makers, will be given free permits covering 94.5 percent of average industry emissions for the first three years, decreasing by 1.3 percent a year. Moderate emitters will receive free permits covering 66 percent of average emissions, reducing at the same level.

* Steel makers also receive assistance worth A$300 million over four years to encourage investment and innovation.

* The liquefied natural gas (LNG) industry's supplementary permits to have 50 percent effective assistance.

* Government to negotiate shut-down or part-closure of the most emissions-intensive power generators before 2020, removing up to 2,000 megawatts of capacity. The government aims to replace older coal-fired power stations with cleaner generators.

ECONOMIC IMPACT

* Treasury said the carbon tax would boost the consumer price index by 0.7 percent in 2012-13, then 0.2 percent in 2015-16, but the economy would continue to grow strongly through the tax and later carbon-trading mechanism.

* Treasury said GDP would rise from A$1.3 trillion now to more than A$1.7 trillion in 2020. Employment would grow by 1.6 million jobs by 2020, with or without a carbon price.

* Power prices to rise an estimated 10 percent in 2012-13.

* The transformation of the energy sector is forecast to drive around A$100 billion in investment in the renewables sector over the period to 2050.

* The government has set up a Clean Energy Finance Corporation to invest A$10 billion into the commercialisation of renewable energy and energy efficiency technologies.

(Reporting by James Grubel and Rob Taylor; Editing by Michael Perry)

===================


CORRECTION-ANALYSIS-Australia's green power drive could worry wind investors

08 Nov 2011 06:07
Source: Reuters // Reuters

(Corrects paragraph 3 to make clear Senate has yet to vote on both green energy bodies)

* Future bright for large solar power in Australia

* $13 billion schemes to leverage((The use of credit or borrowed funds to improve one's speculative capacity and increase the rate of return from an investment, as in buying securities on margin.)) private investment

* Worries remain over design, threat to wind farm developers

By David Fogarty

SINGAPORE, Nov 8 (Reuters) - Australia is set to unlock more than A$13 billion in government funds for clean energy that could boost investments for large solar power stations, but wind farm developers are at risk if the money disrupts an existing green scheme.

The Senate on Tuesday passed laws supporting renewables and a national carbon price to accelerate investment in cleaner energy.

Geothermal, wave power and energy efficiency projects are also likely to benefit from two independent bodies to be approved by the Senate, the A$10 billion dollars ($10.3 billion) Clean Energy Finance Corporation (CEFC) and A$3.2 billion Australian Renewable Energy Agency.

Wind farms and household solar are unlikely to get access to the cash because the technologies are more mature, cheaper than other renewables and less in need of support.

But getting the design right for the CEFC in particular will be crucial, energy policy analysts say, or the risk is undermining an existing scheme that has driven major investment in wind farms.

"Not only does the CEFC stimulate certain technologies but it also acts against other technologies, so the wind industry might come out really loudly against the CEFC," said Tony Wood, director of the energy programme at the Grattan Institute in Melbourne, an independent think tank.

Australia is blessed with vast potential to generate renewable energy from the sun, wind, geothermal, wave as well as hydro power. While government programmes have tried to support green energy, about 90 percent of the country's power comes from coal and gas.

With energy costs and greenhouse gas emissions rising, the government is trying to change this.

The CEFC starts in 2013 and runs for 5 years, with half the money set aside for renewable energy and the remainder to support lower-emissions technologies and energy efficiency. It aims to commercialise green energy power generation that needs additional financial help to make it viable.

It potentially represents the most important programme to ramp up green investment since the government overhauled and expanded a market-based scheme that mandates a national target of 20 percent renewable energy by 2020.

REVIEW

That scheme, the Mandatory Renewable Energy Target, has led to a dramatic rise in wind farm investment, with more than 2,000 megawatts of capacity now installed and about another 9,000 MW of projects proposed.

The projects earn renewable energy certificates, currently trading at about A$40 per megawatt/hour, that retailers and some generators have to buy to meet green energy targets.

The government is reviewing the design of the CEFC, with wind farm developers fearing a major scaling up of rival renewable energy technologies that would also earn renewable energy certificates could distort the market.

"The CEFC needs to have the right principles around it to make sure that it doesn't create a market distortion under the renewable energy target and that's what we will be advocating for strongly," said Lane Crockett, managing director, Australia, of Pacific Hydro, a large wind farm developer.

"If there was a market distortion, it could threaten wind assets," he said, adding the A$5 billion under the finance corporation should deploy renewable energy investment for assets or generation above and beyond the 20 percent renewable energy target, and focus on less mature technologies.

Questions remain over the level of risk CEFC is willing to take and the type of financial support for projects.

"The CEFC, being a government-owned body, wouldn't be expected to give the rate of return that banks or others would, so people talk about it that would be just above the bond rate," said Paul Curnow, who advises on carbon, renewable energy and environmental markets for law firm Baker & McKenzie in Sydney.

"It could be loan guarantees, early stage equity, concessional loans," he said, steps that would help bridge the price gap in servicing debt costs and the money a project earns from selling power and earning renewable energy certificates.


A major issue for many large renewable energy projects is the high initial capital cost and debt repayments. Depending on the technology, the long-term power purchase agreement as well as money from renewable energy certificates might not cover the debt servicing costs. Sweeteners become essential.

The smaller Australian Renewable Energy Agency, set to start next year and run for nine years, will focus on grants to emerging green energy technologies to help with research and development and bringing them up to commercial scale.

WAVE AND GEOTHERMAL

The agency will repackage existing programmes, with additional support for large-scale solar expected, along with money for geothermal and wave power developers.

Beneficiaries could include Carnegie Wave Energy Ltd and Oceanlinx and geothermal companies Geodynamics Ltd , Green Rock Energy Ltd and Pacific Hydro.

"In Australia, local banks will often only lend for 5 to 8 years, so if the CEFC is able to take a long-term view, able to invest 10 to 15 years, then the returns on areas such as solar and geothermal start to make more sense as the returns on investment kick in with higher energy and carbon pricing over this longer period," said Curnow.

Geodynamics says it aims to complete a 25 MW plant by Dec 2013 and is targeting production of more than 500 MW by 2018.

Large-scale solar is set to benefit from both funding bodies. This includes utility-scale solar photovoltaic (PV) power plants and solar thermal, which focuses the sun's energy to drive steam turbines to generate power.

These can use large numbers of parabolic troughs to heat fluids to drive the turbine, or use acres of mirrors to focus sunlight to a point on top of a tower.

Leading power generation equipment maker Alstom is confident it will benefit since its turbines can be used for both types of solar thermal technology. Alstom also has a stake in U.S. solar tower firm BrightSource.

"We haven't secured deals with anybody at this point," said Gwen Andrews, vice-president Asia and Oceania for environmental policies and global advocacy at Alstom.

"But with the new funding announcements coming out, we are very hopeful of the future for solar thermal in Australia."


The government earlier this year announced it would partially fund the country's two largest solar power stations with total capacity of 400 MW. Investors include French nuclear firm Areva , BP Solar and Pacific Hydro.

Curnow said it was too early to judge how successful the CEFC would be. If the aim was to solely support the target of 20 percent renewable energy, then the body might not be able to spend the full A$10 billion because there were already sizeable green energy investments in the pipeline.

"If you just need a 20 percent target, then assuming all of those projects going forward need some support from the CEFC, you have to question whether they could spend that money, since the aim is to leverage private investments," he said.

"So it does imply that we are going to see more renewables than the 20 percent." (Editing by Clarence Fernandez)

($1 = 0.967 Australian Dollars)


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State Dept IG reviewing Keystone XL assessment

07 Nov 2011 18:06
Source: Reuters // Reuters

WASHINGTON, Nov 7 (Reuters) - The State Department's Inspector General is initiating a "special review" of the agency's environmental assessment of the $7 billion Canada-to-Texas Keystone XL oil sands pipeline, a source at the office of Senator Bernie Sanders, independent of Vermont, said.

The State Department has said it hopes to decide by the end of the year whether TransCanada Corp's Keystone project can go forward, but has opened the door to a possible delay citing the need for a thorough review. (Reporting by Timothy Gardner)

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ANALYSTS' VIEW 7-Australia passes carbon reduction laws

08 Nov 2011 06:36
Source: Reuters // Reuters

Nov 8 (Reuters) - Australia's parliament passed laws that impose a price on carbon emissions on Tuesday in one of the biggest economic reforms in a decade, giving new impetus to December's global climate talks in South Africa.

For a story on the tax, click:

KEY POINTS

- Tax to take effect mid-2012 before moving to a carbon-trading scheme in mid 2015

- Price initially set at A$23 per tonne

- Aims to cut carbon pollution by 159 million tonnes by 2020 or by 5 percent based on year 2000 levels

- To spend A$9.2 billion to help heavy polluting industries like steel and aluminium, and close dirtiest power stations

COMMENTARY

ENERGY SECTOR

LANE CROCKETT, MANAGING DIRECTOR, AUSTRALIA, PACIFIC HYDRO

"We're hoping the passage of the legislation should provide the certainty for us to invest in the long term. We think it's the first step towards providing a level playing for the first in this country and that it will provide both a trigger for investment to go towards clean energy rather than staying the way we used to be.

It's an historic moment for this country, for our economy, and for this company.

GREG EVERETT, CEO, DELTA ELECTRICITY (on A$23 price):

"It does give you a level of certainty, I'll acknowledge that. Realistically, no one's going to run out and invest on the basis of A$23. So if it's above the international price, I think it's just a cost that we are bearing.

A$23 is not representative necessarily of the future. You could make investments and find that it's stranded. So people will not invest (based) on the A$23 fixed price now.

They'll wait and see where the market starts to trend in the future. The fixed price now is not going to support any immediate investment in large generation."

ANALYSTS

DI BROOKMAN, OIL & GAS ANALYST, CLSA IN SYDNEY

"There's just so many other issues now, I think everyone knew that was going to come in, there was no standing in front of that train," said.

"If I had to say, I'm kind of surprised that it's gone so smoothly getting through the Senate, but it has. If there was a surprise, that would be it. But in terms of the market, I think the market's not that surprised with it."

PETER KOPETZ, RESOURCES ANALYST, STOCK ANALYSIS IN PERTH (on LNG)

"Costs, managing the business will go up, anything to do with trying to offset this carbon tax. They will have to put it somewhere, they are not going to just wear it. There are going to be cost increases across the board, and of course the consumer at the end of the day will somehow have to pay for it...I don't think margins will decrease,"

GEOFF ROUSEL, GLOBAL HEAD OF COMMODITIES, CARBON AND ENERGY, WESTPAC INSTITUTIONAL BANK, SYDNEY

"It is the single most important policy mechanism that Australia has had and as result it will increase certainty for participants. Certainty on a price on carbon, albeit one that fluctuates in a market, the certainty of that signal being there makes the decision to proceed with a project easier across all sorts of spectrums.

"This is about re-incentivising investment in technology across a number of industries, sectors. That includes electricity. Having a very broad-based carbon price will give more certainty for people and as a result they can make business decisions in a more structured fashion.

"In terms of trading, the passing of the legislation is a significant step in increasing certainty for people who are looking to plan their response to their liabilities and also those who are looking to use the forward price as an investment signal to make a decision to go with energy efficiency or renewable energy."

TIM JORDAN, CARBON ANALYST, DEUTSCHE BANK, SYDNEY

"Today's vote ends a five-year debate on the detail of carbon pricing in Australia. It's a significant change for energy markets and carbon-intensive firms, but for most people the change will be barely noticeable.

This is a very positive step for the global effort on climate change. It shows that the world's most emissions-intensive advanced economy is prepared to use a market mechanism to cut carbon emissions in a low-cost way."

EMISSIONS TRADING

DANIEL CRAWFORD, CARBON TRADER, OM FINANCIAL NEW ZEALAND

"In the medium term the emergence of the Australian market will have a positive impact."

"We will need markets to sell our (carbon offset) units into and vice versa. Ultimately we will need to be able to purchase and get credits from international markets. New Zealand units, in the long term, won't have enough supply to satisfy the demand, so Australia will be very significant in that regard.

"I don't think the price at this stage will impact New Zealand because there are cheaper units offshore."

NICK ARMSTRONG, CEO, EMISSIONS TRADING FIRM COzero

"We hope the global market can follow and that people can take note of this and see the importance of international linkages.

We hope the pre-compliance market starts trading because otherwise we need to take a short holiday since the fixed-price period really doesn't give an opportunity for us to trade.

Having said that, if the liable parties, or polluters, take some certainty from this, we think the pre-compliance market will start trading, potentially in the next six months. That's what we're excited about. It's really the opportunity to start that forward carbon price curve and to start trading contracts."

SCIENTISTS

JOHN QUIGGIN, UNIVERSITY OF QUEENSLAND AND HINKLEY PROFESSOR AT JOHN HOPKINS UNIVERSITY

"This is a big achievement, coming at an opportune time. With South Korea planning to follow suit, momentum towards carbon emission reductions in the Asia Pacific is starting to build."

"Although this is not the most efficient way to reduce emissions, the fact that it is being undertaken by the world's largest emitter means that we still have a chance to reverse the growth in global emissions before it is too late."

SNOW BARLOW, PROFESSOR OF HORTICULTURE AND VITICULTURE, MELBOURNE UNIVERSITY

"The passage of this legislation will provide clear direction and certainty for business and the community to plan the future of the Australian economy, contrary to much of the rhetoric that has accompanied the debate around these bills."

PROFESSOR KEVIN PARTON, CHARLES STURT UNIVERSITY

"Australia joins the league of carbon pricing nations. With the passage of the carbon tax legislation through the Senate, Australia has become the 33rd country to introduce a price on carbon. In addition to the 32 other fully operational schemes, Japan and Korea have an emissions trading scheme under development, as do major cities in China, and two groups of states and provinces in the United States and Canada."

OTHERS

STEVE SARGENT, CEO, GE AUSTRALIA (on whether it can be repealed)

"I think it's unlikely they're going to be able to unwind this....Once you've put A$1,000 in a bunch of people's pockets to help them with higher energy prices, boy, it's hard to take that out. I just don't know how you do that and get the messages right."

MARTIJN WILDER, GLOBAL HEAD, BAKER & McKENZIE'S CLIMATE CHANGE PRACTICE

"It is highly significant policy reform that should not only reduce national levels of greenhouse gas emissions to safer levels but one that now presents the platform for real innovation across industry and an opportunity to develop alongside our existing resources sector a vibrant and more efficient manufacturing and energy sector.

The passage comes at a time when carbon markets face challenging times. Europe is in financial crisis, U.S. federal action on climate change has all but evaporated and the escalating trade war over the EU ETS applying to airlines may bring about potential trade wars.

In addition, many countries strongly oppose

=======================

EXCLUSIVE-US estimates 75-250 miles Keystone route may change

10 Nov 2011 19:26
Source: Reuters // Reuters

WASHINGTON, Nov 10 (Reuters) - U.S. officials said on Thursday U.S. domestic politics played no role in their decision to study an alternate route for TransCanada Corp's proposed Canada-to-Texas Keystone XL oil pipeline.

The officials, who spoke to Reuters on condition they not be identified, said they estimated that the portion of the route that might have to be changed to avoid environmentally sensitive areas of Nebraska ranged from about 75 to 250 miles (120 to 400 km).

============================

Inspector review may delay Canada-U.S. oil pipeline

07 Nov 2011 22:48
Source: Reuters // Reuters

* Opponents: green review had conflicts of interest

* Lawmakers had asked Obama to delay decision on Keystone

* Congress aide says review could lead to major delay (Adds TransCanada CEO on extended delay, State Dept saying review is not an investigation, paragraphs 9, 17, 18)

By Timothy Gardner and Ayesha Rascoe

WASHINGTON, Nov 7 (Reuters) - The U.S. State Department's inspector general has opened a "special review" of the department's handling of permitting for the Canada-to-Texas Keystone XL oil sands pipeline, which could delay the final decision on the line into 2012 or later.

Howard Geisel, the State Department's inspector general, said in a memo sent to Senator Bernie Sanders that the review will determine to what extent the department and all other parties involved complied with federal laws and regulations relating to the permitting process on TransCanada Corp's proposed $7 billion Keystone XL pipeline.

"The review will include interviews of appropriate officials and an assessment of pertinent documents," said the memo.

Sanders, one of the Senate's most liberal members, and 13 Democratic lawmakers late last month asked President Barack Obama in a letter to delay a decision on the pipeline until State's inspector general investigated alleged conflicts of interest over the project.

The State Department has the power to issue the permit for the line because it crosses the national border, but Obama said last week he would have heavy influence on the final decision.

The pipeline has been a headache for Obama ahead of next year's election, and the inspector general's announcement came a day after thousands of the pipeline's opponents formed a ring around the White House in a protest.

Environmentalists, who are part of Obama's voter base, say oil sands petroleum releases large amounts of carbon dioxide and the line could leak into a crucial central U.S. aquifer.

On the other hand, the pipeline could create thousands of temporary jobs, and a decision to approve the line could support Obama's goal of boosting employment and diversifying energy sources.

The inspector general's office refused to estimate how long the review would take. "We do appreciate the urgency of the matter," said Doug Welty, public affairs officer for the department's inspector general officer, who added that the review is not an investigation.

While the review does not halt the permitting process, the department could decide to hold off on making a decision until the inspector general's office is finished.

The review, to be conducted at three or more State Department offices, will look at the agency's environmental review of the project issued in August and its ongoing examination of whether the pipeline is in the national interest.

The State Department has said it hopes to decide by the end of the year whether the project can go forward. But late last month it opened the door to missing that target citing the need for a thorough review.

<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ FACTBOX-Keystone and US energy agenda [ID:nN1E7A01Z4] US may miss year-end goal for Keystone [ID:nN1E79O20K] Obama advisers fret over pipeline risks [ID:nN1E7A22AJ] Pipe lobbyist, State Dept seen too close [ID:nN1E79101Y] ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>

DECISION SEEN IN 2012 OR LATER

Sanders and other opponents of the pipeline have expressed concern that Cardno Entrix, a company the State Department hired to conduct environmental impact statements on the pipeline, had financial ties to TransCanada.

Environmentalists have also complained that Paul Elliott, a lobbyist for TransCanada, is too close to the State Department, a charge the agency has rejected. Elliott served as the national deputy campaign manager for Secretary of State Hillary Clinton during her 2008 run for president.


Bill McKibben, an environmental writer who organizes Keystone protests, said the special review will encourage people across America to step up their fight against the oil sands. "Since the State Department didn't even bother to study the global warming question, the only real answer is to send this back for a whole new review," he said.

A Congressional aide familiar with the Keystone project said the inspector's review could lead to major delays.

"The chances of them making a decision before the end of the year are pretty much impossible at this point," the aide told Reuters. "The decision is definitely going to come in 2012 if not later."

TransCanada's chief executive Russ Girling said this month an extended delay would threaten the project because it could lead oil shippers and refiners to abandon support for the line. [ID:nL4E7M12Q2]

On Monday, a TransCanada spokesman said the company would develop a response once it gets a sense of what it is dealing with. He also said the company was confident the review will reflect TransCanada acted in a fair, open, and transparent manner, and welcomed the chance for the latest claims against the project to be refuted.

The State Department's environmental assessments of the Keystone are also being challenged by another lawmaker, whose committee has oversight of such reviews. Barbara Boxer, the chairman of the Senate Environment Committee, asked Secretary of State Hillary Clinton on Friday to answer a series of questions about the environmental assessment by Nov. 14, probing whether the firm had a conflict of interest.

Boxer asked whether the Keystone decision will be delayed until the State Department knows the results of an independent engineering evaluation of spill detection measures and valves.

The State Department did not immediately respond to a request for comments on that letter.

(Additional reporting Roberta Rampton and Jeffrey Jones in Calgary; Editing by Marguerita Choy and Bob Burgdorfer)

=============

Shale gas bright spot in troubled US economy-report

06 Dec 2011 20:42

Source: Reuters // Reuters

* IHS-job growth from shale gas outpaces stagnant economy

* Comes as regulators weigh new rules on gas wells

* GOP's Upton: don't slow development with new red tape

(Recasts, adds details, adds Upton quote paragraph 9)

By Roberta Rampton

WASHINGTON, Dec 6 (Reuters) - The U.S. shale gas boom has created more than 600,000 U.S. jobs so far, a leading consultant said in a study released on Tuesday about gains made in the labor market from controversial "fracking" technology.

The study by forecaster IHS Global Insight, which was commissioned by a natural gas industry group, found that each new job directly involved in drilling supported the creation of more than three additional jobs in supplies and services.

The jobs have a multiplier effect more powerful than in finance or construction, the study said, forecasting the number of jobs could rise by another 45 percent by 2015.

In Washington, where President Barack Obama and lawmakers are fixated on job creation, the report could fuel arguments from Republicans that federal regulators should stay out of hydraulic fracturing or "fracking" that has upended the industry and uncovered decades' worth of reserves.

The report focuses on the economic impacts of an industry already touted by Republicans as holding great promise, finding more than 600,000 U.S. jobs supported by shale gas since 2002. The U.S. government's establishment survey shows that the economy actually lost 2.2 million jobs since 2000, when the shale gas industry was in its infancy.

Of the 600,000 net new jobs, 148,000 are directly related to drilling, said John Larson, a vice-president at the firm, and lead author of the study.

By 2015, total shale jobs are forecast to grow to 870,000, he said. "There are not a lot of industries right now in this economy adding net new jobs," Larson said in an interview.

"It clearly does stand in stark contrast to the broader economy and this long and painful recovery," he said.

REGULATORY STATUS QUO

In shale "fracking," drillers blast gas from shale rock using sand, water and chemicals. Environmental groups worry fracking pollutes water, a charge that industry refutes.

"New extraction technologies represent exactly the kind of American ingenuity we need to revive the economy," said Fred Upton, Republican chairman of the House Energy and Commerce Committee.

"We need to make sure we are developing our resources safely and without burdensome red tape that would slow the job creation and energy potential of this vast American resource."

The shale gas industry is projected to contribute $118.2 billion to the economy by 2015, up 53 percent from last year's level, the consulting firm said in the report, which was commissioned by industry group America's Natural Gas Alliance.

The results were based on independent data and analysis, Larson said.

The report comes ahead of the 2012 presidential election, where persistent unemployment is the top issue and as federal environmental regulators weigh a larger role in the industry, currently monitored mainly at the state level.

The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency is looking at new standards for wastewater discharged from gas wells, and is finalizing rules for air pollution from the wells.

It is also studying the impact of fracking on drinking water, and wants to propose a new rule to gather data about chemicals used in fracking.

Some states have also constrained drilling. The report assumed the status quo remains in place for regulations. For example, it did not forecast any new development in New York state, which is considering whether to lift a ban on fracking.

Lower electricity prices created by the bounty of natural gas has also helped the economy, leading to another 809,000 jobs by 2015, Larson said. Eventually, the new supplies could spur growth in the U.S. chemical industry, creating even more jobs, he said.

The industry also provided $18.6 billion in tax and royalty revenues in 2010 to cash-strapped government at all levels - equivalent to what the federal government spent on the Environmental Protection Agency and National Science Foundation combined, the report said.

Early in 2012, the firm plans to release a report on the economic impact from unconventional oil, such as that coming from North Dakota's Bakken development, and another on how growth in Canadian natural gas production has benefited U.S. suppliers. (Editing by Bob Burgdorfer and Andrea Evans)


====================


US shale oil seen growing quicker than forecast

07 Dec 2011 22:19

Source: Reuters // Reuters

* Shale oil seen hitting 3 mln bpd before 2035

* Saudi Arabia sees threat from shale oil

By Timothy Gardner

WASHINGTON, Dec 7 (Reuters) - The boom in North American shale oil could expand even faster than forecast if the crude is produced responsibly, energy experts said on Wednesday.

The National Petroleum Council recently forecast that some 3 million barrels per day of shale oil could be produced in North America by 2035 if regulations were favorable to the industry.

The shale oil surge in Bakken, North Dakota and other areas of the country are estimated to be about five years behind the natural gas shale boom. Rapid advancements in hydraulic fracturing, or fracking, and directional drilling have boosted output of both fuels.

"My personal feeling is it could be earlier than 2035 that we get to (3 million bpd) given the pace of development we are seeing in places like the Bakken and increasingly in other arenas," Andrew Slaughter, a business advisor at Shell Exploration & Production Company, told a panel at the Center for Strategic and International Studies.

The surge could threaten Saudi Arabia's dominant role in world oil markets, and it also eases the urgency to develop the kingdom's own reserves, its state energy company said last month.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration on Tuesday raised its forecast for 2012 liquid fuel output by 37 percent on faster growth from shale oil.

Bakken, which began producing in the early 2000s after being discovered in the 1950s, is yielding about 450,000 barrels per day, or about 8 percent of U.S. crude output.

Another shale oil deposit, known as Eagle Ford in Texas, is potentially even more profitable, said Danny Brown, a general manager at Anadarko Petroleum Corp.

There are also 14 or 16 other shale oil fields in North America that are in the early stages of development.

Like fracking for natural gas, shale oil has raised the hackles of environmentalists.

In the fracking process companies blast large amounts of water, mixed with chemicals and sand, deep underground to release the fuels.

Environmentalists are concerned the process uses large amounts of water and employs potentially dangerous chemicals that could contaminate the ground water. In the shale oil, they also abhor companies flaring off large amounts of natural gas in the process, leading to excess emissions.

James Sorensen, a research manager at the Energy & Environmental Research Center in North Dakota said companies could ease those concerns by recycling water and by stopping the flaring.

(Reporting by Timothy Gardner; Editing by David Gregorio)


==================


Payroll tax cut passes House with pipeline conditions

Unemployed people at a job fair New York City 12 December 2011Republicans say raising taxes will hinder efforts to create jobs in the US economy

Related Stories

The US House of Representatives has passed a bill to extend payroll tax cuts by tying the measure to a much-disputed oil pipeline project.

The Republican-backed bill was voted in by 234-193, but is unlikely to pass the Senate where Democrats called it "ideological candy" for conservatives.

President Barack Obama says he will veto any bill linking the tax break to the disputed Canada-to-Texas pipeline.

Republicans oppose a Democratic-backed deal urging more taxes for the wealthy.

Republican Speaker of the House John Boehner praised the bill after it passed on Tuesday, saying it could extend the payroll tax "without job-killing tax hikes".

The White House renewed its appeal that America's highest earners should "pay their fair share" to offset the estimated $180bn (£116bn) cost of the payroll tax cut, but made no mention of the pipeline clause.

Congress "cannot go on vacation before agreeing to prevent a tax hike on 160 million Americans and extending unemployment insurance", White House Press Secretary Jay Carney said.

US lawmakers have been engaged in bitter partisan disputes over government spending throughout the year.

In November, the Obama administration delayed a decision to approve the Keystone XL pipeline project, which would run from the Canadian province of Alberta to refineries in Texas.

The project has met with opposition from Nebraska and environmental groups that are concerned the pipeline would pass through the Sand Hills region, which contains a major aquifer.

While Canada is behind the project, the White House has said it will reassess the pipeline route, delaying a final decision till after the 2012 presidential elections.

==================

=============Sinopec and CNOOC are among a handful of national oil companies in talks about buying an equity stake or striking a joint venture with Frac Tech International, a U.S. shale gas driller, Reuters reported on Dec. 14. The discussions over a deal, with a mooted pricetag of $2.2 billion, underline the growing international interest in fracking, a drilling technique that has transformed the U.S. energy industry by unlocking vast supplies of natural gas trapped in underground rock formations.Meet the FrackersFracking tie-up makes sense for shale-rich China16 December 2011 | By Kevin AllisonPrintEmailSaveChina’s quest for shale gas is accelerating. Buying a piece of Frac Tech, a U.S. gas services company, would be a savvy move by China’s national energy majors. Frac Tech’s hydraulic fracturing technology could help China unlock 140 years of gas supplies. The strategic benefits justify a premium price tag.At a reported $2.2 billion for a 30 percent stake, the potential deal would value Frac Tech’s equity at $7.3 billion. Add $2 billion of debt, and that puts the company’s enterprise value at $9.3 billion, more than 9 times this year’s expected EBITDA. That’s a hefty premium to larger, more diversified oil services companies like Halliburton and Baker Hughes, which trade at closer to 5 times 2011 EV/EBITDA. Part of the richer valuation can be justified by Frac Tech’s faster growth. But Sinopec and CNOOC also have strong strategic reasons to pay up.China has up to 1,275 trillion cubic feet of recoverable shale gas reserves, the U.S. Energy Information Administration estimates – a 140-year supply, based on expectations of 2015 demand. Tapping these vast domestic deposits would be a coup for China, which wants to reduce reliance on smog-producing coal. But the country’s shale gas sector is still in its infancy. Commercial exploration only kicked off this year. The initial results look positive, but Chinese energy companies lack the know-how to extract shale gas themselves. Buying into Frac Tech would help close the knowledge gap.Frac Tech’s technology should be easy to copy. The company makes drills, pumps and chemicals in addition to doing the drilling. Fracturing rock with pressurised water, sand and chemicals to release trapped gas is a brute force activity. The equipment is basic, and while the work can be technically challenging, it is not rocket science. A shortage of engineers and equipment is arguably a bigger challenge to widespread adoption than the technology itself. Chinese companies have already mastered far more difficult technologies, such as networking equipment and high-speed rail.Financial investors might struggle to justify paying such a price for Frac Tech, which recently filed for an initial public offering. But for China’s energy companies, the strategic logic looks compelling.============EnvironmentShale gas and frackingFracking will poison New York's drinking water, critics warnOpponents of controversial gas drilling method condemn plan as environmental agency sounds alarm bells over staffing levels  reddit thisKaren McVeighguardian.co.uk, Thursday 5 January 2012 21.08 GMTArticle historyFracking involves drilling into hard shale rocks to shatter them and release the natural gas inside. Photograph: Steve Karnowski/APA former staffer at a state government agency responsible for regulating hydraulic fracturing, or fracking, has warned that allowing the controversial gas drilling method in New York would lead to contamination of the state's aquifers and would poison its drinking water.These stark warnings, issued by Paul Hetzler in a letter to an upstate newspaper, came as a current employee and union representative at the Department for Environmental Conservation (DEC) sounded alarm bells over the under-staffed agency's ability to monitor the industry and to deal with any emergencies if the plan goes ahead.Fracking is the process of injecting a high-pressure mixture of sand, water and chemicals thousands of feet into hard shale rocks to shatter them and release the natural gas inside.• Click here for a Guardian explainer on frackingPlans to remove a statewide ban on fracking advanced by New York governor Andrew Cuomo and the DEC have sparked a wave of opposition from environmental, health and activist groups.The New York state DEC released its recommendations in July, saying that proposals to remove the ban "struck the right balance between protecting our environment, watersheds and drinking water and promoting economic development."But opponents of the plans, which would allow thousands of new wells to be drilled across the state with the exception of New York City and Syracuse, have criticised the DEC for not properly assessing health risks and for failing to include measures to protect water supplies.In his December 13 letter to the Watertown Daily Times, Hetzler, a former technician responsible for investigating and managing groundwater contamination at the DEC, said: "I'm familiar with the fate and transport of contaminants in fractured media, and let me be clear: hydraulic fracturing as it's practised today will contaminate our aquifers."Not might contaminate our aquifers. Hydraulic fracturing will contaminate New York's aquifers. If you were looking for a way to poison the drinking water supply, here in the north-east you couldn't find a more chillingly effective and thorough method of doing so than with hydraulic fracturing."The publication of Hetzler's letter last month coincided with a report from the US Environmental Protection Agency, which linked fracking with water pollution for the first time.Hetzler calles the proposals for hydraulic fracturing in New York state "insane", adding: "I'm not saying anywhere you drill will cause a huge catastrophe. There might be a location where geological conditions are favourable, where contaminants don't travel. But the Marcellus shale is not a homogeneous layer. You can't predict what is going to happen."The Marcellus shale is a black shale rock formation between 2,000 and 7,000ft underground that extends from Ohio and West Virginia into Pennsylvania and New York. Indeed, recent earthquakes in Ohio have widely been presumed to have been caused by the disposal of wastewater generated by fracking there.Hugh MacMillan, of Food and Water Watch, said: "Hetzler's letter exposes the shortsightedness of opening up New York to shale gas development. The inherent, long-term risks to the state's vital water resources cannot be mitigated."A byproduct of fracking, according to MacMillan, is the trapping of millions of gallons of fluid underground indefinitely. Once subjected to geological forces over years or decades, that fluid could move about under the earth's surface in unpredictable ways."The dubious economic and environmental benefits of shale gas do not justify these risks," he told the Guardian.The DEC's own environmental impact statement identifies a "significant number of contaminants" in fluids associated with fracking that could reach surface water or aquifers.It also concludes that releases could have "significant adverse impacts" on water resources and proposes a number of mitigration measures. These include a ban on fracking in the New York City and Syracuse watersheds where the drinking water is unfiltered, and not allowing it in or around "primary aquifers."The mitigation measures also include requirements governing spills and releases.However, union representatives at the DEC have warned that the already-depleted department has too few staff to take on the additional monitoring and inspection fracking would require.In a statement submitted to the DEC, Wayne Bayer, an executive for the Public Employees Federation union, which represents over half of the state's DEC 3000 employees, said: "The 25% reduction in existing staff at DEC has crippled our ability to carry out all existing federal and state regulatory and statutory responsibilities."He continued: "DEC would also be hard-pressed to adequately provide emergency remedial response and clean up assistance for a major accident of any kind. The moratorium should be extended until there are adequate staffing levels."Wes Gillingham, the programme director of Catskill Mountainkeeper, one of a large number of environmental groups active in opposing fracking in New York state, echoed Bayer."It is not just a matter of numbers of personnel. We need people overseeing the industry and inspecting the cement around the casings," he told the Guardian."There are not enough inspectors out in the field across the state of New York. At the moment in New York there are only 15 or 17 inspectors for hundreds of existing wells. What's going to happen when there are thousands of wells being added to every year?"The DEC did not return multiple requests for comment.Its public consultation period on its draft regulations, which was extended by a month due to high demand, will close on 11 January, and it will produce a final impact statement and regulations sometime this year.Robert F Kennedy Jr, who sits on the New York State's high-volume hydraulic fracking advisory panel, recently alleged that the debate has been hampered by a campaign of "intimidation and obfuscation" by key industry players.A prominent environmentalist, Kennedy said he was an early optimist on natural gas, but the worst of the industry had battled regulation, stifled public discourse, and persuaded regulators to grant exceptions to existing rule.===============US EPA to test water near Penn. fracking site20 Jan 2012 02:38Source: Reuters // Reuters* EPA to test water in 60 homes in Dimock* Regulators will deliver water to four homes* Dimock at center of national fracking debate (Adds comment from Cabot)By Edward McAllisterJan 19 (Reuters) - U.S. regulators said on Thursday they will perform water tests at about 60 homes in the small town of Dimock in northern Pennsylvania where residents say natural gas drilling has polluted wells.The Environmental Protection Agency also plans to truck water to four homes in the town where some households have relied on water deliveries since drilling by Cabot Oil & Gas Corp began there three years ago, it said in a statement on Thursday.The tests, which will begin in the coming days, are being carried out "to further assess whether any residents are being exposed to hazardous substances that cause health concerns," the EPA said.The announcement represents a reversal for the EPA, which six weeks ago declared the water in the 1,400-person town safe to drink before receiving more data provided by residents.It is also the clearest sign yet that regulators are concerned about the effect of drilling on drinking water there.Dimock, in a busy drilling area above the gas-rich Marcellus shale deposit, has become the center of a national debate over the natural gas extraction technique called fracking, which involves pumping millions of gallons of chemical-laced water into shale rock deep below the ground.Fracking has unlocked decades of U.S. natural gas supply, but environmentalists say it contaminates water supplies. Energy companies have said fracking, which is being done across the country, poses no threat to drinking water.Cabot spokesman George Stark said the company has tested and sampled water from more than 2,000 wells in the area over the past several years and does not have data showing drilling is the cause of "alleged health concerns purported by the EPA."Dimock residents began complaining of cloudy, foul-smelling water in 2008 after Cabot began fracking nearby.Cabot had trucked water to a dozen Dimock households for three years until November when state regulators agreed it could stop.Since then, residents have relied on water deliveries arranged by environmental groups including Water Defense and Sierra Club, though the sporadic deliveries have barely been enough. Some have been using pondwater for showers."I am very relieved," said Dimock resident Victoria Switzer who has not drank water from her tap in three years. "After the EPA investigation perhaps we will all get relief from this nightmare we have been living for a long time."FEDS VS STATESAs fracking increases in the United States and contributes to an energy boom, the EPA is conducting a national study to determine its impacts.A recent EPA draft report showed that harmful chemicals from fracking fluids were likely present in a Wyoming aquifer near the town of Pavillion.In Pennsylvania, as in Wyoming, state authorities have expressed frustration at the EPA's involvement in local affairs.An energy policy analyst said the federal tests could push states to beef up oversight . "Every government that oversees shale gas production at the state and municipal level will be looking for ways to prevent this from happening in their producing areas," said Kevin Book, an analyst at ClearView Energy Partners in Washington. "That means local regulation will be ramping up." (Additional reporting by Timothy Gardner in Washington; Editing by Marguerita Choy, Lisa Shumaker and David Gregorio)
====
At Oklahoma oil hub, Obama pledges to speed part of pipeline
Thu, Mar 22 15:38 PM EDT
image
1 of 12

By Jeff Mason

CUSHING, Oklahoma (Reuters) - Standing in front of a row of pipes, President Barack Obama pledged on Thursday to accelerate approval of the southern leg of the Keystone XL pipeline, seeking to deflect criticism that his rejection of the full project helped create a climate for high gasoline prices.

The campaign-style stop was immediately dismissed as a stunt by Republicans, saying that Obama doesn't have the authority to really jump start the project. Analysts say it won't likely be finished until 2014 at the earliest.

Rising fuel costs are threatening to derail Obama's hopes of winning re-election in November, and Republicans have honed in on his decision to block TransCanada Corp's Canada-to-Texas pipeline as a sign that his energy priorities were hurting America.

U.S. gasoline prices have jumped nearly 30 cents in the past month, pushing the national average to $3.87 a gallon, according to the Energy Information Administration.

Obama's trip to Cushing, Oklahoma, the starting site of the southern leg of the controversial project, was designed to show his "all of the above" energy strategy included room for oil and gas development in addition to support for renewable fuels.

"Today I'm directing my administration to cut through the red tape, break through the bureaucratic hurdles, and make this project a priority," Obama said, standing without a tie at a podium that was surrounded by rows of green- and copper-colored piping segments.

The White House relished the setting and clearly wanted the photo-op. Bad weather nearly forced Obama to deliver his remarks in an Oklahoma City hotel instead.

It is unclear whether Obama's call would actually speed up the approval process. The Army Corps of Engineers, one of the agencies that is likely to be involved, said on Wednesday it could not estimate how long approval would take since it had not yet seen an application from the company.

"Even with President Obama speeding up the process, we only expect Keystone XL to be operational in 2014 at the earliest," investment house Barclays said in a research note Thursday.

Republicans dismissed Obama's move as a publicity stunt that made little difference to the timeline of the southern project or the problem of U.S. energy security. "He's taking credit for going forward on the only portion of the pipeline that he doesn't need to approve," said Senator John Hoeven of North Dakota at a press conference. "This is literally straddling both sides of the issue."

Obama rejected the full Keystone XL pipeline earlier this year, blaming Republicans in Congress for forcing his hand with a mandatory deadline that did not give the State Department enough time to study its environmental and safety implications. Hoeven has led the charge in the Senate to pass legislation that would bypass the administration and approve the full pipeline.

DRAINING GLUT

"Despite numerous attempts by Republicans to compel the president to approve the Keystone permit, Americans are still left with a 1,179-mile (1,897-km) gap between the oil resources and this southern portion of the pipeline," said Brendan Buck, a spokesman for Republican Speaker of the House of Representatives John Boehner, referring to the full Keystone XL project.

A new Gallup poll conducted earlier in March showed 57 percent of Americans thought the government should approve the building of the entire Keystone XL pipeline. Among Democrats, 44 percent supported the pipeline, with 38 percent opposed.

The southern portion of the pipeline would drain a glut of crude in Cushing, the storage hub for U.S. crude oil traded on the futures market, easing deliveries to refineries along the Gulf Coast.

Republican presidential candidates Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, and Newt Gingrich have made criticism of the decision a key part of their respective platforms to win their party's nomination and the right to take on Obama in the November 6 election.

Though Obama's original decision to block the pipeline cheered environmentalists, who make up an important part of his political base, those same supporters expressed dismay at his statement on Thursday.

"President Obama has taken a dangerous wrong turn on energy," said Larry Schweiger, president of the National Wildlife Federation.

"Rushing pipelines and drill rigs for rich oil executives will only delay the investments we need in renewable energy and create long-lasting damage to our waters and lands."

(Additional reporting by Timothy Gardner and Ayesha Rascoe in Washington; Editing by Russell Blinch and Cynthia Osterman)

Infants should sleep on their backs - U.S. doctors

18 Oct 2011 16:56
Source: Reuters // Reuters

BOSTON, Oct 18 (Reuters) - Putting babies to sleep on their backs on a firm crib mattress in the same room with their parents is on a list of safe sleep guidelines for infants released on Tuesday by U.S. pediatricians.

The American Academy of Pediatrics (AAP), an organization of 60,000 pediatricians, first said in 1992 that infants should be placed in a non-prone position for sleeping to avoid sudden infant death syndrome.

A new report, which was released at the group's national conference in Boston, recommends infants sleep wholly on their back for every sleep and notes that side-sleeping is unsafe. Some supervised awake-time spent on the tummy is recommended.

A series of 18 recommendations from the AAP are intended to help guide parents, healthcare providers and others who care for infants following an increase in sleep-related deaths over the last few years.

The expanded recommendations focus broadly on creating a safe sleep environment that can reduce the risk of sudden infant death syndrome, suffocation, entrapment and asphyxia, the report said.

The guidelines also recommend that soft objects and loose bedding, such as quilts, pillows and even bumper pads not be kept in cribs.

Infants should not regularly have routine sleep time in sitting devices, such as car seats and strollers, and should not sleep in a bed where they might suffocate, according to the guidelines.

The recommendations, geared to infants up to one year of age, emphasize the importance of regular prenatal care for pregnant women and encourage smoke-free environments for pregnant women and children.

(For more information on the guidelines, see: www.healthychildren.org/safesleep)

(Reporting by Lauren Keiper; Editing by Greg McCune)

Valuation hints

Opinion: Now is the time for an Iraqi oil dividend

Demonstrators attending a Feb. 2011 protest at Baghdad's Tahrir Square carry signs demanding that oil revenues directly benefit the Iraqi people. (BEN VAN HEUVELEN/Iraq Oil Report)
By CONTRIBUTING ANALYST JOHNNY WEST
Published October 18, 2011
With its imminent surge in oil production, Iraq is more vulnerable than ever to the "resource curse." The influx of wealth threatens to distort the economy and deepen ethno-sectarian divisions by fuelling a political culture of rent-seeking, patronage, and corruption.

To forestall the worst effects of this problem, Iraq should distribute some of its oil revenues directly to the people. A properly structured dividend could address several of the country's critical development needs all at once...



=============
Hub; It is normal for drilling time to decrease rapidly after the first few wells. This is observed in virtually every new oil province; drilling management get honed, information is shared between operators, gross mistakes are identified and eliminated, drilling strategy and technology selection improve, service companies accumulate experience, drilling crews zero into the structure, bit selection and general drilling ops are better, formation information and pressure data accumulate, logistics improve etc. etc. It all increments and shaves the time. We will soon reach diminishing returns where it all becomes routine and predictable. Roll on that day.
Re: SH-4
ChapinAfrica
18

Very good point Hub,.....

The drill has barely taken 5 months. Amazing speed. I guess the question is...why has the drill bit gone like a knife through butter when SH-2 has looked laboured in comparison?

Is it a better rig? Is the structure less fractured towards the flanks?

or
Maybe the GKP drilling team, could just be getting the knack of understanding the material they are actually drilling through,..different design drill bits to suit the various layers more cuttig than grinding,...just my simple opinion.

GKP have bought themselves a very large protective buffer with the $200 million placing,...against:- 1. a cheap T/O,.... and 2 rushing out any news,....i would not expect any news soon in all honesty,.....they are going to build up a formidable picture of the subterreanean landscape when the SH4 - 3D Siesmics - SH2 - SA1 - results when all are done and dusted,....add MOL's long awaited results from Bekhme,and possibly the 1st BB drill showings, Vallares want the world to know what they have bought and as quick as possible,...maybe to finance the next phase on the back of some very good early results, the plot just gets thicker,.....and thicker.

The waiting is torturous on the nervous system,.....i would just love to know 24 hrs in advance when that IOC or NOC will make the first bid,.......time machine required though,.....we can all dream.

AIMOVHO.


====


Re: Mirabaud > valuation hints
GKP.L
80
So let me get this right.....

Mirabaud says: 'The well is worth as much as 106p/shr (unrisked, net to GKP) on our numbers.'

Assuming they are using the estimated OIP figure of 1.5 billion used in the RNS, a predicted recovery factor of one-third (estimated by management) and GKP's 40% Working interest in Ber Bahr, this would mean:

1.5 billion OIIP x 33.3% RF x 40% WI = 200 million barrels of predicted Reserves...
have a value of 854 million shares x 106p = approximately £ 900 million.

So each barrel of reserves (in Mirabaud's eyes) is worth about £4.50 or $7.20, very much in keeping with previous analysis on this BB (bulletin board that is, not Ber bahr!)

Also, TH/Vallares paid Genel about $5.90 per barrel for reserves ( headline figure) but, when taking into account contingent resources, this figure reduced down to about $3.60, I believe, in what amounted to a fire-sale.

$3.60 is therefore HALF the Mirabaud estimate for the value of each barrel of reserves to GKP,and fits very well with the concept of leaving 'something for the next man', or if we had no choice but to sell.

So, I think we now have further confirmation of just what a 'barrel of oil reserves' is likely to be worth to an IOC in a T/O situation (Note that an NOC might pay significantly more than this $3.60... maybe even somewhere near to Mirabaud's $7.20!).

All we need now IMHO is therefore some confirmation of those elusive recovery factors and we are away. That and the equally elusive Oil & Gas Law, that is!

Incidentally, Spidy's NAV calculator
http://www.navcalculator.com/GKP_NAV.php

already puts a net $3.60 valuation on each barrel of Oil reserves, so you have a pretty good ready -reckoner of GKP's current valuation if you input the figures from RNS's that we have seen to date.


Okay, the SP might say 135p right now but, contrary to what some people say, 'the market' is not always the best means of assessing a company's true worth. In this case, I think it is very obvious just how wrong it can be. We have to accept it though - the market does not necessarily play fair, and we may NEVER see fair value for GKP until T/O.

However, given the prize that should arise at the end of it, I certainly won't be getting off the GKP express.. even for a moment.. until it reaches its final destination, irrespective of some of the blots on the landscape that we may have to witness along the way.

GLA, scaramouche

CiA

====

Tue 07:32
Re: RNS-Spud of BB-1> END GAME
GKP.L
82

Excellent news which seem to have been precipitated by TH/Vallares moving into Kurdistan and partnering Genel.

Remember that only a few months ago there seemed virtually no possibility that Genel would get to work on BB, which meant that GKP could ecxpect to gain very little from that prospect.


Interesting comments from JG:

1. "The IMMEDIATE PROXIMITY of the Ber Bahr block to our major discovery at Shaikan, as well as to Sheikh Adi, makes the Ber Bahr-1 spudding very exciting news."

Is this another hint of the ONE STRUCTURE that is expected to comprise SH, SA and BB? (Note that AB is not referred to in this reference, so presumably seen as a separate structure).


2. " Our ambitious plans, underpinned by the successful fund-raisings in 2010-2011, include acquisition of 3D SEISMIC data over the Ber Bahr block."

So, on top of 3D seismic for Shaikan and SheikhAdi with results due by the end of November (please keep promises this time, GKP!) we will now have 3D seismic data for Ber Bahr, again suggesting a probable 'connected' structure - 3D seismic was not done for AB as far as I know.


IMHO, BB-1 could be the most important exploration well of all.... with GKP having a 40% interest, Ber Bahr potentially dwarfing the other licences in terms of OIP, and yet having only 2100 metres target depth.... so, within only a few short months the END GAME could be very much in sight.

GLA, scaramouche

====


Re: Takeover premium > Cam
GKP.L
39
Hi Cameronian,

Good of you to draw attention to my post of 6/7/2011...

http://www.iii.co.uk/investment/detail/?display=discussion&code=cotn%3AGKP.L&thread=8498886&threshold=0&it=le&action=detail&id=8499225

in which I stated....

‘Hi MrAverage,

You are absolutely right - I did hold Sibir Energy... and they were Taken over for 500p per share, while still suspended at 173.5p.

Perhaps more importantly though, less than 12 months earlier, they were about 25p. So, anyone lucky enough to hold them from that level got a 20-bagger!

Sadly, my average was 100p.... almost exactly the same as my average for GKP! And these were about 65p about 12 months ago.

Always best to look at the full picture, I think!’
---------------------------------------------------------

I think it shows very clearly that T/O premiums way in excess of 55% do happen, and that the price a share is, at any particular point in time, often bears no relation to what it is taken out for.

One point that might also have escaped you is that Sibir shares never actually came back from suspension, so there was NO OPPORTUNITY for anyone who was out of Sibir (or shorting it ) to get back in before the T/O happened. Ouch!!

I always wonder whether the same could happen with GKP, in that the share could be suspended pending major news.... and then that ‘shock and awe’ announcement that all real shareholders are waiting for could arise. Surely, with every day that passes, the risk of this happening increases.

Of course, you may not believe that this is very likely, but Sibir Energy was exactly the EVIDENCE you were after to show that it can.... and does.

So, thank you, Cameronian, for reminding me of my prior research – it saved me having to look for it again! Good luck with your 'investments'.

GLA, scaramouche


======

Today's news:

'By Colin McClelland and Bradley Olson
Oct. 10 (Bloomberg) -- China Petrochemical Corp., the country’s biggest refiner, has agreed to buy Canada’s Daylight Energy Ltd., an oil and natural gas production company, for about C$2.2 billion ($2.11 billion) in cash.

The offer of C$10.08 per share from China Petrochemical, known as Sinopec, is more than double Daylight’s closing price of C$4.59 on Oct. 7, the company said in a statement yesterday.'

===



Author scaramouche View Profile | Add to favourites | Ignore
Date posted 2011-10-05 14:08
Subject The Toughest hold ever.. but worth it!
Votes for this Posting Voted 85 times.
Message
Although I am not in Miny’s camp on this occasion, I do believe that he should be applauded for highlighting he way in which many small investors and some institutions might think faced with a low-ball takeover offer.

About 3 weeks ago, everyone was in positive mood, as the SP rose to about 190p intra-day and GKP announced its strategic plans (including a 440,000 bopd pipeline), and told us all that it was fully funded. The likelihood of anyone accepting a low offer then seemed to have been put to bed indefinitely.

Then we had the placing at 140p which surprised many (myself included) and seemed to put a damper on all previous positivity, even though the placing amounted to just about 10% of the shares in issue... and has given GKP a huge injection of funds.

Anyone would then have expected that 91 million shares placed at 140p with the placing over-subscribed (plus the 78 million shares placed at 140p last October) would have at least put a floor on the SP of around 140p.

But not a bit of it!

Further global turmoil in the financial markets has seen the SP crash through ‘the floor’ to around 120p yesteday, and only now (after a rebound on the DOW) have we seen the SP restored to about 134p... still incredibly low (Note: the LOWEST broker target is about one-third higher than it is now, and GS have a 390p target) .

As Woooody pointed out, how rational is it that institutions who wanted to buy at 140p and couldn’t now seem reluctant to buy in at significantly less than that figure. It certainly is a crazy mixed-up turbulent world!!

The reason is perhaps that so many investors are fickle, or have turned into would-be traders. One day they would dismiss any low-ball offer out of hand and hold out for fair value, the next they would take £3 if it was offered there and then. Our very own 3Dimensional seems to have fallen prey to this emotional roller-coaster we ride every day, after being perhaps the most upbeat about this share amongst us for many months.

But does all this make us vulnerable to a low-ball bid when the markets are very volatile and could be heading for recession one day or set for a market recovery the next? Personally, I don’t think so.

Encore Oil was in a totally different situation to us – it would have struggled to raise finance in today’s world and was a long way off becoming a producer. Premier Oil recognised the weakness and offered a solution to the Board and the shareholders – a 55% premium on the SP, or a share in the future fortunes of Premier. I imagine many will opt for the latter.

The Vallares/Genel deal was a closer comparison to GKP as all of the assets are in Kurdistan and it is a company still with huge growth potential. But even this is a flawed comparison as Genel was cash-strapped and TH was offering its holders the opportunity to share in the future of the company. But, in return, TH wanted to buy them on the cheap.

GKP is completely different. It is now well-funded for the whole of 2012 after the $200 million placing. It has the prospect of an ever-increasing income stream from production (whether for the local market or exports. It still has the little matter of the BIR’s for Shaikan to be concluded. And it now has the prospect of obtaining fair value for Akri-Bijeel once the results from Bekhme-1 come in. And the news flow stacked up is quite extraordinary, all subject of course to the impact of the Oil & Gas law whenever that gets agreed.

To my mind, the FIRST truly valid benchmark will therefore be what GKP get when their share of AB is sold, as it should enable us to price what each barrel of Kurdistan oil ‘reserves’ commands in today’s market place.

Another key ingredient will be which type of company makes the offer that is too good to be refused. Will it be a Vallares type of arrangement, an IOC like Chevron or ConocoPhillips, or an NOC like Sinopec or KNOC? All are possible, especially as Ewen said a week or two ago that there had already been several enquiries.

IMHO, it is essential to understand that, by discussing T/O of GKP now, we are really getting much too far ahead of ourselves.

AB will give us the initial benchmark (and we should learn more about it in the next 90 days), and it will buy TK enough time to get the full results from Shaikan and Sheikh Adi and announce the 3D seismic. The proceeds will also make GKP cash rich, and should allow Ber Bahr to be drilled, plus the confirmation of whether or not we do have ‘one structure’ and the ‘full to spill scenario’ that is often mooted.

There is therefore IMO absolutely no point in considering ANY offer until those landmark events have been reached, unless perhaps the offer is a ratcheted one whereby a formula is applied to assess the value of GKP based on proven and contingent resources at a specified date.

Obviously, everyone is very impatient but, if you don’t need to sell, why would you want anything else but the receipt of fair value? You don’t have access to all the data that GKP and a would-be buyer would see, and nor do I – but TK does, and he now has at least one new strong NED to keep his possible maverick tendencies in check.

The NEDs will be there to look after shareholder interests and we should look out for their appointment in due course, presumably sooner rather than later if GKP is to seek inclusion in the FTSE in December.

So, while I used to say I wouldn’t sell until TK said we should - now I would say ’not until the BoD recommends it’... as I really don’t think it will be entirely TK’s decision. And as I doubt very much that THEY will recommend any T/O bid until Ber Bahr is drilled and appraised... around mid-2012, nor should we!

Yes, GKP is probably 'the Toughest HOLD' ever (it certainly has been for me). But, as always, unless you are a trader, patience has to be the key. I still have a fair amount of it!

GLA, scaramouche


================


Author scaramouche View Profile | Add to favourites | Ignore
Date posted today 11:41
Subject Putting the Cat among the Pigeons...
Votes for this Posting Voted 62 times.
Message
Well, as I always say – there is never a dull moment with GKP!

The weekend has only just started and we have already seen a series of articles/ snippets in the press referring to what has become the perennial favourite amongst investors in AIM shares.

Personally, I have to admit that I am becoming quite a fan of The Times’ Tim Webb , as here is apparently a journalist who produces, well-written, balanced articles, which are highly informative, insightful, up-to-date and quote his sources directly. He also tells the readership exactly how it is with investing in Iraqi Kurdistan – giving both the rough and the smooth. That is exactly what we want, and something that is often sadly missing from the normal GKP media coverage.

By contrast, we seem consistently to get shoddy journalism from others, referencing unsubstantiated rumours, unattributable sources, and offering inexplicable and non-specific valuations. Anyone worth their salt would surely have looked into the credibility of the ‘180p bid rumour’ before going to print, and explained exactly what it was founded upon.

The contrast in the standard of journalism is stark – but at least there is someone out there, Tim Webb, who deserves to be commended for his efforts. Well done,Tim!

Regarding the T/O bid rumour itself, I guess that with GKP you cannot rule anything out, although I doubt very much that it has any validity whatsoever.

Think instead about the psychology that has been applied to our own assessment of fair value for GKP in the last 12 months...

The SP rose to around £2 on 2nd November last year on the back of, you guessed it, another unsubstantiated rumour (see end of following link)

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/markets/marketreport/8105986/Market-Report-Takeover-talk-pushes-up-Olympic-Games-advisor-RPS.html

GKP was forced to deny this by RNS on 3 November 2010 – “The Board of Gulf Keystone notes recent press speculation, and confirms that it has not received any approaches regarding a possible offer for the Company”.

We have subsequently seen a whole variety of seemingly out-of-the-ordinary events which have affected our perception of GKP (or more specifically Todd Kozel) – the Excalibur affair, the Kozels’ divorce and alleged impropriety, and the much criticised excessive pay and benefits package awarded to the BoD. And in the course of this time the SP has struggled to get close to the levels it achieved a year ago, and currently languishes at 137.5p.

But, on this board, we can be our own worst enemy, over-estimating the importance of these factors and giving too much credence to unsubstantiated rumours.

Many of the de-ramping brigade often tell us that the market is right and the SP of 137.5p or whatever is deservedly where it is, and we choose to indulge them by responding to their completely unfounded comments.... instead of putting them on Ignore where they belong.

My position, like that of Investor48, Dalesmann, GRH1 and many more does not however change. IMO, GKP is a company whose fundamentals have improved enormously since the time it was trading at £2 per share with a market cap of £1.5 billion, and those fundamentals are what we need to be concentrating on, as they are ultimately what GKP’s value will be calculated against.

Unfortunately, the more sordid elements of the press seem entirely unable or unwilling to grasp this concept.

First, the Sunday Times said on 28 August 2011 that GKP was up for sale with a price tag of around £1.4 billion, and GKP was forced to issue an RNS to on 30 August 2011 deny it:

“Whilst the Board does not normally comment on speculation, the Company confirms that it remains committed to creating value for shareholders, via the continuing 2011/2012 drilling programme on its world-class assets in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq. Whilst there is clearly increasing interest in the region in which Gulf Keystone operates, the Board is NOT in discussions with regard to a sale of the Company”

TK even then went on CNBC on 31 August 2011 and, in response to the very first question, stated:. “There are absolutely no deals in the offing – we are not... we are NOT up for sale right now”.

And now, about 8 weeks later, we find the Independent talking of a rumoured bid of £1.80 per share (equivalent to a market cap of £1.5 billion), and the Times follows suit with a rumour of £1.80 - £2 per share (a maximum of £1.7 billion). They don't give up, do they!

Personally, I think that TK should again issue a denial... BUT use the opportunity to reference what it is realistically expecting to get for the sale of its minority interest in Akri- Bijeel when the Bekhme results are in (due I think in about 2 months time). Now that really would put the cat among the pigeons!

Of course, given that the SP is still below the 140p placings both of October 2010 (78 million shares) and September 2011 (91 million shares), it is an almost inescapable conclusion that psychology is likely to play its part. Someone’s strategy may have been to get PIs to believe that since GKP is only priced at <140p, a bid of 180-200p might be realistic.

Maybe the hypothetical bidder is thinking that they could raise their bid to £3/ £4 and expect to be successful. After all, PI psychology would ensure that these boards were full of the view that it was way in excess of the initial talked about bid and so might be very hard to resist.

But, if that is what ‘someone’ thinks, IMO they are completely wrong.

GKP will, I believe, ultimately be valued based on the assets it has discovered and proved up to some degree or other – both 2P reserves, and contingent resources - just like TH/Vallares have done with Genel. The valuation will be adjusted according to the buyer’s view of the political risk at that time, not the SP itself.

And it should never be forgotten that a bid of the kind of level described is also likely to flush out possible suitors like Conoco Philllips and Chevron amongst the IOCs, or Sinopec and KNOC amongst the NOCs, who will not want to be waiting on the sidelines while GKP’s enormous assets are transferred to another party. IMHO there WILL be a Bidding War, and it will be dramatic when it happens but probably not until BB-1 and hopefully SH-6 have been drilled.

Of course, it is also possible that the weekend press is simply having its usual bit of fun with GKP, hoping to re-invigorate a share whose SP has seemingly stagnated around the 140p placing price, while those in receipt of shares in the placing are looking for some quick return on their investment.

Irrespective of the motivation or basis for the latest T/O bid rumour of 180p, I have no doubt whatsoever that GKP will eventually go for many multiples of that.

AIMHO and please DYOR.
GLA, scaramouche


============

Author Fruit n Veg View Profile | Add to favourites | Ignore
Date posted today 11:09
Subject Re: A High of 137.9p View parent message
Votes for this Posting Voted 55 times.
Message
Mikey

I don’t blame anyone for feeling short-changed here but the key words are (1) RISK and (2) RETURN.

This stock hasn’t delivered a brass farthing in dividends. Compare that with a mammoth such as Aviva which, on 4th October, during a bout of ‘nerves’, was yielding a prospective 9.5%. That’s fantastic for any quality large-cap equity. Keep that for five years and, compounded, you have doubled your money in a highly liquid stock with a broad spread of assets and a ruthless, hatchet-wielding management – which, perversely, investors approve of. Instis and pension funds, with long-term liabilities to fund, buy stocks like Aviva for that very reason.

Conversely, there is no reason for an insti to buy GKP other than the spectacular upside. I am not being disingenuous by saying that – you can’t run a dividend-hungry pension fund on a wing and a prayer. Until the X-factors sort themselves out, the very big money cannot touch this stock.

Then there is the opportunity cost of holding a stock with no income while the Avivas and National Grids of the world are paying out regularly come rain or shine. That hurts. The only compensation is a massive pay day. Until that time comes, we are naturally twitchy.

It is a fact that 80% or thereabouts of investment returns come from dividends, not capital gains. Directors declare dividends to keep investors sweet. By contrast, what has Todd done specifically to keep small investors on side here? Nothing, I suggest. He has helped his City backers with placings. But I don’t get the impression that he feels in any way beholden to PIs.

CASH GENERATION & PERSONAL GOALS
These AIM stocks have one thing in common: they are all serial fundraisers. Look at CYAN and VIY, which are glaring examples among many. How else does a company exist for 10 years without making a cent of profit? I would steer clear. But we have raised all we require and that is a source of confidence.

Cash generation is the name of the game in markets. Oil in place stats do not pay the rent. The market will take notice when we start SELLING oil internationally AND GETTING PAID FOR IT, if indeed we get as far as that before the inevitable take-out. Add to all this uncertainty the monumental idleness, bureaucracy and corruption which is Iraq pre- and post Saddam and you have a very compelling case for instis to steer clear. Of course, they will pile in when the Iraqis come to their senses. At that point we PIs will reap massive rewards but the instis, while being late to the party as we see it, will have been scooping dividends elsewhere with the likes of Aviva. As PIs we have our own ‘dead money’ here with no-one except perhaps the wife to answer to, but an insti with targets and a fiduciary role with clients cannot tolerate that.

Thus I see a reason for things being the way they are. On a personal level, each of us has a timescale over which we are prepared to be invested. That is a factor which should be dictated by practicalities such as your age and how long you have until retirement, or other family commitments which might take priority such as mortgage redemption, property maintenance or school fees. Needs such as this would dictate being in fixed interest and dividend payers rather than AIM stocks. Risk profile and age are in inverse relation. I am no spring chicken but what keeps me here is the belief that the return will be substantial and far outstrip even the most generous dividends by end-2012. That is the time limit I have set for myself.

Personally I am happy that the banks which took massive risks buying Greek debt have been made to take responsibility for the losses with an agreed 50% write-down on that investment. That is only right in law and justice. The market can now rally as the immediate threat to the euro system has been averted. If the rally continues – Hub I hope and believe that you are right in thinking that it will – then some of the profit can seek higher-risk diversity in the likes of GKP. So I SEE ONLY UPSIDE FROM HERE, barring absolute Armageddon.

UNDERPERFORMANCE LOGICAL
Mikey, I disagree with your comment that the market does not like instability. It trades on instability and seeks entry points, as it did recently with some great divi payers. Yes, it is a nauseous roller-coaster and, for the reasons above, small caps get hit. Yet when the broad market recovers, we might get left behind, which is frustrating. But the same risk factors apply to us now as applied when the market was in free-fall, so the pattern is not without some logic.

But that should not trouble the long-termers and those PIs without immediate need for income from their investments. Whether in business or personal finances, cash is the lifeblood so I would only be invested here if I had other sources of income day to day which, fortunately, I do. None of us should be penny-pinching just because a bunch of half-witted Iraqi politicians cannot agree on how to run the country. I may be aggrieved about it, like most here, but, so far, it has not impacted my lifestyle and the day it starts to do that, I am out.

Mikey, we have to separate our personal needs from the company fundamentals. Most of us see nothing but upside for this stock yet the frustration is palpable. I conclude that the discontent being voiced on this BB is of an emotional nature and not GKP-related. It is good that the BB serves a useful function as a sounding board. But, as we know, there is no place for emotion in investing. We have excellent fundamental commentators here who have made a compelling case ad nauseam ((ăd nô'zē-əm)
adv.
To a disgusting or ridiculous degree; to the point of nausea.

), and I have bought into that. So stay focused on that, don’t keep marking your position to market and don’t get wound up by the vacuous politics.


==============


Gerstenlauer presenting at Oil Council e...
Gawain_1977
12
Hey all,

Worth checking out - noticed that John G. is speaking at an event I know of quite well, and it's not 'just another oil conference' but one specifically focused on M&A and other key financing activities for E&P companies.

John is actually delivering a keynote to the second day: "Unearthing new investment opportunities – the future of Iraq and Kurdistan", under a session that examines 'Frontier Pioneers: Striking it Rich by Investing in Exploration'. Among the other speakers are some EXCEPTIONAL banking and M&A experts (I know two of them very well) and it seems like a strong environment for networking and 'touting' the GKP story.

In my humble opinion, this is exactly the type of event we want to see GKP involved with because it networks the right level of people together who might be able to advise/get involved with GKPs eventual buyout.

It's being held at Chelsea FC (unfortunately!) so anyone London or SE based might find it a doddle to go along to. Unfortunately it costs a fair old whack to attend but this does at least ensure most (if not all) in the room will be senior oil & gas/ banking executives...

Link -
http://www.oilcouncil.com/event/weca/overview/


Good luck everyone - something is surely ALREADY being brewed by the M&A/Supers/NOCs executives with regards to GKP t/o - they'd have to have been living in a cave to not already be sizing up the golden opportunity they have to replace reserves on their balance sheets with one fell swoop.

==============
Sinopec, the Chinese state-owned oil producer and refiner, agreed to invest $5.2 billion in the Brazilian oil and gas assets of Galp Energia, the Portuguese resources group.

The investment would consist of a $4.8 billion cash injection, and a $390 million loan to the Portuguese parent company. The cash would be used to fund investment in the project. In return, Sinopec would get a 30 percent stake in the Brazilian assets.

Galp said the deal valued its Brazilian assets at $12.5 billion, not including the cash contribution. Based on its stated reserves of 2.9 billion barrels of oil equivalent, adjusted for the riskiness of retrieving them, that implied a value of $4.34 per barrel.

Sinopec bought a 40 percent stake in neighbouring fields owned by Repsol, the Spanish energy group, in October 2010. It paid $7.1 billion for the assets, which included 1.8 billion barrels of oil equivalent, including risked exploration.



No more Mr Moneybags
Sinopec's M&A strategy gets a little smarter
11 November 2011 | By John Foley

PrintEmailSave
Chinese oil major Sinopec is starting to show some M&A discipline. It has just invested $5.2 billion in the Brazilian oil fields of Galp Energia, the Portuguese oil company. Compared to its last big deal it did in the same back yard, the price looks positively reasonable. With luck, Sinopec might make a habit of powering its big acquisitions with logic as well as cash.

Sinopec and Galp look well matched: the buyer has near-limitless access to cheap bank lending. It has the unquantified, but very substantial, backing of the state too.

Galp, in contrast, looks strapped for cash. Capital expenditure for the year comfortably outweighs its projected EBITDA(earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) for this year, according to Reuters consensus estimates. Balance sheet strains may explain why Sinopec is helping to refinance a chunk of Galp’s debt with a $390 million loan.

Galp investors hoped for more, and its shares fell 11 percent as the deal broke. Based on the $12.5 billion at which Galp’s Brazilian assets are valued, Sinopec is paying $4.34 per barrel of oil equivalent for the project’s total risk-adjusted reserves. Last year, Sinopec paid around a fifth more per barrel for a 40 percent stake in a neighbouring project of Spanish energy giant Repsol. The difference in price neatly explains the $1.7 billion fall in Galp’s value as news of the deal broke on Nov. 11.

In reality, some differences in the qualities of the two Brazilian assets explain the differences in price. Galp’s fields are gassier than Repsol’s, which puts a dampener on the valuation. Moreover, the Galp stake is smaller, and comes with less operational influence. And Sinopec isn’t saying how much oil it can carry home from the venture – a perk that carries high value for state-owned producers from the world’s most energy-hungry nation.

Still, Sinopec, now on its third sizeable overseas deal since the beginning of October, does seem to be learning some tricks of the M&A trade. And it seems to appreciate that the key is not to overpay. The captive savings of 1.3 billion citizens are done no good being channeled into whimsically(Determined by, arising from, or marked by whim or caprice. See synonyms at arbitrary.
) priced acquisitions.

=================

Monday, October 17, 2011

Q+A-What's going on at Japan's crippled nuclear power plant?

18 Oct 2011 05:18
Source: Reuters // Reuters


A worker wearing protective suit measures radiation levels inside Tokyo Electric Power (TEPCO) Co.'s crippled Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant No.1 reactor building in Fukushima Prefecture May 5, 2011 in this handout photo released by TEPCO on May 6, 2011. REUTERS/Tokyo Electric Power Co/Handout

By Shinichi Saoshiro

TOKYO, Oct 18 (Reuters) - The operator of Japan's tsunami-hit Fukushima nuclear power plant said on Monday that the amount of radiation being emitted from the complex has halved from a month ago, in the latest sign that efforts to bring the facility under control are progressing.

Operator Tokyo Electric Power (Tepco) said at a monthly review that the damaged reactors at the Daiichi plant, 240 kilometres (150 miles) northeast of Tokyo, were emitting about 100 million becquerels of radiation per hour, about one eight-millionth of the amount seen in the days after the March 11 disaster and half of what it announced a month ago.

It said the latest figure translates to about 0.2 millisievert per year of radiation measured at the fringes of the plant, below the 1 millisievert safety limit set out in government guidelines.

HOW HAS TEPCO GOT TO THIS STAGE?

The decline in emitted radiation follows a drop in temperature at the plant's three damaged reactors, which suffered nuclear fuel meltdowns in the first days of the crisis as the water meant to cool them evaporated after the tsunami knocked out their cooling systems.

"We see a relationship between the drop in temperature and the decline in the amount of radiation the plant emits. When temperatures at the reactors are high, it means that substances spread into the air along with evaporating water," said a spokeswoman for Tepco.

Immediately after the disaster Tepco tried to cool the reactors by pouring in tens of thousands of tonnes of water, much of it from the sea. But that left a vast pool of tainted runoff, some stored in huge tanks and some in the basements of the reactor buildings, that threatened to leak into the ocean.

The cooling progressed after Tepco alleviated this problem by building a system that decontaminates the tainted water and then reuses some of it to cool the reactors and spent fuel pools.

Temperatures at all three damaged reactors dropped below 100 degrees Celsius at the end of September, a state technically defined as cold shutdown as water used to cool nuclear fuel rods remains below boiling point and prevents the fuel from reheating.

Tepco has also nearly completed the construction of a giant barn-like structure to cover one of the three reactors, which it says will further limit the spread of radiation.

WHAT NEXT?

Tepco and the government have held off from declaring that cold shutdown has been reached although temperatures at all three reactors are below 100 degrees.

"We still need to proceed with care. We need to continue monitoring whether the temperatures of the reactors and radiation levels being emitted remain stable going forward," Yoshinori Moriyama, deputy director-general of the government watchdog Nuclear Industrial and Safety Agency, said to reporters on Monday.

Tepco has, however, brought forward its cleanup plan, saying it wants to declare cold shutdown has been achieved this year instead of by January as initially planned.

Declaring cold shutdown will have repercussions well beyond the plant as it is one of the criteria the government said must be met before it begins allowing the 80,000 residents evacuated from within a 20 km radius of the facility to return home.

Even if a cold shutdown is declared, Tepco has acknowledged that it may not be able to remove the fuel from the reactors for another 10 years and experts say cleanup at the plant could take several decades.

Saturday, October 15, 2011

Iran's supreme leader calls U.S. accusations meaningless

By Hashem Kalantari | Reuters – 1 hr 45 mins ago
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TEHRAN (Reuters) - Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said on Saturday U.S. accusations that two Iranians planned to assassinate the Saudi Arabian ambassador to Washington were "meaningless," state TV reported.
"A meaningless and nonsensical accusation has been raised against a few Iranians in America, which was made into an excuse to present the Islamic Republic as a supporter of terrorism," Khamenei told a crowd in the western province of Kermanshah.
"It didn't work, it won't work," he said.
Khameni, who is on a nine-day tour of the province, said the west repeatedly made unfounded accusations against Iran.
"They undertake such conspiracies on a regular basis ... to no avail," he said.
"They say we want to isolate Iran, (but) it's they who have isolated themselves."
Iran's English-language Press TV quoted Foreign Ministry spokesman Ramin Mehmanparast as saying the U.S. allegations were "untrue and baseless."
"It is a comedy show fabricated by America," he said. The relationship between Iran and Saudi Arabia was based on "mutual respect" and could not be harmed by "fabricating such baseless claims."
U.S. authorities say they broke up a plot to bomb the Israeli and Saudi Arabian embassies in Washington and assassinate the Saudi ambassador.
The alleged plotters were identified as Manssor Arbabsiar and Gholam Shakuri -- both originally from Iran -- in a criminal complaint unsealed in federal court in New York City.
The United States has said it held rare direct contacts with Iran over the allegations. An Iranian news agency quoted an Iranian official at the U.N. as denying that.
"I will again confirm that we did meet with the Iranians," State Department spokeswoman Victoria Nuland said on Friday.
"They know that very well, and any efforts on their part to deny it speaks again to how truthful they are about any of these sorts of matters."
IRAN-SAUDI TENSION
Political tension between Iran and Saudi Arabia has been increasing since Saudi forces intervened in March to help Bahrain's Sunni rulers crush pro-reform demonstrations backed by the Shi'ite majority.
Iran and the United State are at odds over Tehran's disputed nuclear program, which Washington and its allies say is a cover to build bombs.
Tehran denies this, saying it needs nuclear technology to generate electricity to meet its booming domestic need. The United States and Israel, which Iran refuses to recognize, have not ruled out military action if diplomacy fails to resolve the row with Iran.
(Reporting By Hashem Kalantari; editing by Andrew Roche)


=====


Iran: US plot allegations resemble Iraq WMD claims

17 Oct 2011 21:58
Source: Reuters // Reuters

* Ahmadinejad says assassination plot a U.S. lie

* Aimed to create rift between Iran and Saudi Arabia

* Obama pushing for more sanctions on Iran (Recasts, adds more quotes)

By Robin Pomeroy

TEHRAN, Oct 17 (Reuters) - President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said on Monday U.S. allegations of an Iranian assassination plot resembled its claims of weapons of mass destruction that formed the basis for the 2003 invasion of Iraq, and would prove to be equally untrue.

Ahmadinejad said Washington had fabricated the plot of an Iranian seeking to kill Saudi Arabia's ambassador to Washington in order to cause a rift between Tehran and Saudi Arabia and dominate the oil-rich Gulf.

"In the past the U.S. administration claimed there were weapons of mass destruction in Iraq. They said it so strongly, they offered and presented documentations and everyone said 'yes, we believe in you, we buy it'," Ahmadinejad said in a live interview on Al Jazeera television.
"Now is everyone asking them, were those claims true? Did they find any weapon of mass destruction in Iraq? They fabricated a bunch of papers. Is that a difficult thing to do?

"The truth will be revealed ultimately and there will be no problem for us at that time," Ahmadinejad said.




U.S. President Barack Obama hopes the foiled alleged plot will lead to tighter sanctions against Iran -- already under several rounds of U.N. measures over its nuclear programme -- and repeated that all options are on the table to deal with the Islamic republic -- a tacit threat of possible military action.

When asked whether he thought Iran and the United States were on an inevitable "collision course" towards military conflict, Ahmadinejad replied: "I don't think so.

"I think that there are some people in the U.S. administration who want this to happen but I think there are wise people in the U.S. administration who know they shouldn't do such a thing."

Nevertheless, the commander of the Iranian army ground forces said his troops were "fully prepared and ready to give a quick response to any aggression on Iran's soil".

"Today America is too unsteady to even think about launching an attack on Iran," Ahmad Reza Pourdastan told the semi-official Fars news agency.

HEINOUS

Saudi Arabia, Iran's main rival in the Gulf and with close ties with Washington, requested the United Nations look into what it called the "heinous conspiracy" and Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon said on Monday he had passed correspondence about the affair to the Security Council.

Ahmadinejad called on Saudis not to fall for a U.S. strategy which he said aimed to divide and conquer the Gulf.

"If the U.S. administration is under the impression that by doing this it can create conflict between us and Saudi Arabia then I have to say the U.S. administration is sorely mistaken.

"The U.S. administration is not interested in Iran or in Saudi Arabia. They see their interests in having a dispute between Iran and Saudi Arabia -- they want to dominate our region," he said.

Iran's relations with Saudi Arabia have been strained by the events of the "Arab Spring" as each tries to assert its position in the region amid a welter of sectarian and geo-political rivalries.

Even before the Arab uprisings began, a leaked U.S. cable published on WikiLeaks said Saudi King Abdullah had urged the United States to "cut off the head of the snake" by launching military strikes to destroy Iran's nuclear programme.

The plot furore appears to have killed any chance of a rapid return to talks between Tehran and world powers concerned about its nuclear programme , but Foreign Minister Ali Akbar Salehi said Iran would examine the allegations.

"We are prepared to examine any issue, even if fabricated, seriously and patiently, and we have called on America to submit to us any information in regard to this scenario," he was quoted as saying by the official IRNA news agency. (Editing by Mark Heinrich)


======

Friday, October 14, 2011

Case management conference

Disputes & Litigation
Solicitors & Lawyers
Legal Dictionary

case management conference
1.
Case management conferences form a fundamental part of the management of litigation in the UK. These conferences are used by courts to (1) exercise their broad case management powers; (2) fix case management directions; (3) if necessary, review the litigants’ compliance with previous directions, with a view to making directions leading up to the trial. The parties may consent to directions that would otherwise be made at a CMC, however the court retains the power under the Civil Procedure Rules to require the parties to attend court at anytime for the purposes of managing litigation for the purposes of ensuring that the case is ready for trial at any time between allocation through to the pretrial review.
Ordinary business at a case management conference includes:
Ensuring previous directions made by the court have been complied with;
Review the steps taken by the parties in preparing the case for the final hearing;
Decide matters that should be addressed prior to the hearing, having regard for the overriding objective;
Make a record of agreements to progress the litigation.
In the course of managing the litigation, the court will identify the fundamental issues in dispute between the parties, with a view to ensuring that the case progresses in accordance with the directions issued in the proceedings. Legal representatives or a person familiar with the disputes being litigated (with litigation experience) should attend to properly assist the court manage the litigation. To this end, it may be appropriate for:
documents that the court may wish to see be available for inspection, including witness statements and experts’ reports
parties should attend
preparation of a case summary (which is the responsibility of the claimant)
be filed prior to the hearing
preparation of draft orders in advance for perusal by the court, after service of the same on the parties.
The court may during the case management conference hear submissions relating to:
the details of the claim and sums sought by way of damages, so that the other party can understand the case it has to meet
amendment that may be required to the Particulars of Claim or the Defence in the litigation
the classes of documents that ought to be made the subject of disclosure
the expert evidence that may be required, and how and when that evidence should be obtained and disclosed, including questions to be put to experts
the factual evidence to be disclosed
the arrangements that should be made about the giving of further information or clarification;
whether a trial for liability on the claim and any counterclaims should be heard separately or together with an assessment of quantum of liability
whether the trial should be spilt, and how this might be arranged in terms of the issues to be heard
the need for a further case management conference and/or a pre-trial review
either fix a date for the hearing or a trial window, which will in all likelihood be as soon as practicable. Also dates for filing pre-trial checklists may also be set
Whether it will be just and will save costs to order a split trial or the trial of one or more preliminary issues.
Sanctions
The court maintains broad powers to sanction failure to comply with directions. A failure to comply with deadlines for filing disclosure lists, expert or lay evidence or any other direction often results in the court issuing an ‘unless order’. Such orders require a party to take stated steps in the proceedings by a specified time. In the event that the relevant litigant fails to comply with the unless order, some consequence will follow, as such adverse costs orders, striking out of a statement of case, summary judgment or some other named sanction, if the party is in default of the order.
Usage: The claimant's failure to comply with the directions made at the case management conference led to an order being made by the court that the claim be struck out unless the claimant complied with the directions within 21 days.
Related Words: pre-action disclosure; allocation directions; claimant; defendant; pleadings; claim form; particulars of claim; defence: litigation; Civil Procedure Rules; pleadings; hearing: litigation; cause of action; fast track; multi-track.

Russia quake halts oil to China, Far East

14 Oct 2011 09:52
Source: Reuters // Reuters

* ESPO pipeline ships 300,000 bpd of oil to China

* Another 300,000 bpd delivered to the Far Eastern port of Kozmino

* Pipeline was not damaged, but aftershocks expected (Adds detail)

MOSCOW, Oct 14 (Reuters) - Russian oil pipeline monopoly Transneft said it halted oil shipments to China and the Far Eastern port of Kozmino following an earthquake, adding that the ESPO pipeline was not damaged and deliveries could restart on Friday.

The U.S. Geological Survey said the 6.1 magnitude earthquake struck at 0610 GMT on Friday in Russia's Amur region, about 5,150 km (3,200 miles) east of Moscow and 210 km (130 miles) north of Heilongjiang, China.

Russian authorities said there were no casualties or significant property damage.

"The company halted supplies as a preventive measure. Transneft expects aftershocks, but theoretically shipments can be restarted today," company spokesman Igor Dyomin told Reuters, adding that the power supply to some pumping stations was interrupted and reserve capacity was plugged in.

He said that the company has also stopped loading railcars destined for Kozmino where oil exports continues.

"We have enough oil reserves at Kozmino to carry out continuous loadings," Dyomin said.

He added that Transneft, which operates the 50,000 km-long pipeline network, has continued receiving oil from producers.

The East Siberia - Pacific Ocean pipeline, launched on Jan. 1, carries 300,000 barrels of oil per day to China, while another 300,000 bpd go via the rail line to Kozmino. (Reporting Volodya Soldatkin, Gleb Gorodyankin and Steve Gutterman, editing by Alfred Kueppers)